驱护舰编队舰空导弹反导能力探讨

根据驱护舰编队反导队形的配置和舰空导弹的战术技术性能 ,对驱护舰编队多舰协同反导能力进行分析 ,计算来袭目标处于不同舷角时的协同反导区域大小和协同反导时间 [1 ] 。     

物体识别不变性方法比较分析(Ⅲ)——神经网络方法

文献[1]和[2]中分别讨论了物体识别不变性方法——统计方法和解析方法。本文将讨论另一种方法——神经网络方法。     

基于Delphi-BP神经网络的装备保障能力评估

针对评估指标数量过多可能给评估过程及结果带来的弊端,在构建装备保障能力评估指标体系基础上,给出了基于Delphi法的指标体系筛选的方法步骤,通过计算累计贡献率,对指标体系进行了筛选,降低了评估模型的输入维度。建立了评估部队装备保障能力的三层BP神经网络模型,利用Matlab神经网络工具箱对网络进行了训练和仿真,结果显示误差小于10-3。最后,通过对比评估,验证了方法的有效性和正确性。     

打造防化尖兵

近日,为提高民兵防化分队对突发事件的应对能力,实战能力和身体素质,提高全员的安全意识和消防技能,辽阳市文圣区人武部组织民兵防化分队进行了防化应急演练。通过演练,提高了民兵应急分队的整体能力,实现了“编为用,练为战,战能胜”的要求。[第一段]     

基于遗传神经网络算法后勤指挥决策能力预测

分析了后勤指挥的主要影响因素,运用信息论中的信息压缩原理,建立和优化了后勤机关指挥决策能力预测指标体系。建立了遗传算法优化的BP神经网络后勤机关指挥能力预测模型,消除了BP神经网络存在的初始权值和阈值难以确定的局限性。给出了预测实例,证明了该算法的合理性和有效性。     

增强快速动员装备保障能力

装备保障工作作为预备役部队快速动员工作的重要组成部分．对形成和提高预备役部队的作战能力起着重要的作用。提升快速动员条件下的装备保障能力．需加强以下方面工作。[第一段]     

用于目标机动检测的神经网络

用于跟踪机动和非机动目标的算法有很多[1]—[4]。对机动目标和非机动目标可以使用不同的算法。检测目标机动的能力能为给定的态势提供良好的算法。通常采用一些特定的技术实现机动检测。神经网络为实现目标机动检测提供了一种新工具。已经为这种应用开发测试了两个不同的网络。一个网络使用方位数据,另一个网络使用滤波器残差。方位数据先被仿真,然后被滤波,以便为这两种网络提供所需要的输入。使用反向传播算法训练每个网络,该算法是一种被资料证明的普通梯度下降训练算法[5]。已经研究了很多不同的多层感知结构。这里介绍的两种结构能在训练和测试时提供最好的性能。对这两个网络进行了相互比较,并且与一个特定的门限算法进行了比较,给出了相对性能数据。这项研究结果表明,利用神经网络实现目标机动检测是可能的。     

基于BP神经网络的后勤装备资产寿命周期费用预测研究

BP神经网络就是指采用反向传播学习算法的前向多层人工神经网络，它具有分布式存储信息、高强的容错性、并行处理信息、自学习性和非线性映射逼近能力等运行特点。基于BP神经网络的后勤装备资产寿命周期费用预测模型的构建，通常按照初始化、构建网络、导入输入输出层和训练网络、决策、结论的步骤来完成。     

适用于云计算的多接收方代理重加密方案

在云计算环境下,绝大多数信息处理和存储都被转移到云中心,用户终端的计算和存储能力将逐渐弱化。本文针对这一趋势,提出一种适用于云计算的多接收方代理重加密方案,充分利用云中心的分布式计算能力,使用随机数重用和密文聚合技术,大大降低了计算和传输负担,实验表明本方案具有较高的效率。     

某型舰炮火控设备ANN-ES故障诊断系统智能水平检验

针对神经网络故障诊断专家系统在某型舰炮火控设备故障诊断中的应用,以系统自学习能力为主要指标,通过对系统的适应性和可拓展性检验方法的理论探讨和实例分析,衡量了基于神经网络的故障诊断专家系统的智能化水平,论证了系统的主要优越性,为系统实际应用奠定了基础.     

增强科技素养，提高打赢能力

增强高级指挥员的科技认知力、创新力、运用力是科技强军的必然要求。本文从战争演变、融合发展、应对威胁切入,对高级指挥员如何提升科技认知力层次、增强科技创新力效能、提高科技运用力水平谈了几点初步思考。     

Conflict and fiscal capacity

We examine the role of war in retarding state fiscal capacity in developing countries, measured by tax revenue ratios to GDP. We build a simple theoretical model of a factionalized state, where patronage substitutes for common interest public goods, along with violent contestation over a rent or prize. Our dynamic panel empirical analysis applied to 79 developing countries, during 1980–2010, indicates that war, especially civil war, retards fiscal capacity, along with imperfect democracy, political repression, poor governance, and dependence on oil and macroeconomic mismanagement. High intensity conflict is particularly destructive of state capacity. In countries experiencing low intensity wars, other institutional factors may matter more than war. The diminution of fiscal capacity due to war appears less pronounced after the end of the cold war.     

一类带容量限制的运输问题

考虑一类带容量限制的运输问题.采用构造辅助网络的方法,将运输网络中的每个配送中心均拆分成两个节点,构造出新弧,形成新的网络,把此类运输问题转换为最小费用流问题来解决.并在此基础上,考虑运输网络中配送中心的容量扩张问题.     

Excess capacity in weapons production: An empirical analysis∗ †

This paper analyzes a set of observations by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) on individual weapons systems regarding whether large amounts of excess capacity exist and whether short run average cost (SRAC) appears to be severely decreasing. It is shown that the amount of excess capacity and steepness of SRAC are essentially independent of output rate. It is then argued that this suggests that production is occurring in inefficiently large plants—i.e.—off the long run cost curve.     

Why internal conflict deteriorates state capacity? Evidence from Colombian municipalities

Previous work has documented a negative correlation between internal conflict and state capacity. We attempt to shed light on mechanisms that underlie this relationship, using data for Colombian municipalities. We rely on identifying heterogeneous effects of different types of violent events on state capacity, taking advantage of variability across municipalities in the prevalence of specific manifestations of conflict and their intensity. Our findings suggest that events making civilians feel targeted affect the state’s capacity to collect taxes, while those reflecting a stronger military capacity of illegal armies, in particular their large-scale attacks, affect the state’s capacity to provide public goods.     

做好编辑工作应具备的素质和能力

编辑工作是整个出版工作的中心环节,编辑又是读者与作者之间不可或缺的桥梁与纽带。能否在编辑工作中贯彻“从读者出发,为读者服务”的指导方针,是整个编辑出版工作成败的关键所在。当代新闻出版业的急剧发展和演变,对编辑工作也提出了新的要求。     

Stochastic production capacity: A bane or a boon for quick response supply chains?

The quick response (QR) system that can cope with demand volatility by shortening lead time has been well studied in the literature. Much of the existing literature assumes implicitly or explicitly that the manufacturers under QR can always meet the demand because the production capacity is always sufficient. However, when the order comes with a short lead time under QR, availability of the manufacturer's production capacity is not guaranteed. This motivates us to explore QR in supply chains with stochastic production capacity. Specifically, we study QR in a two-echelon supply chain with Bayesian demand information updating. We consider the situation where the manufacturer's production capacity under QR is uncertain. We first explore how stochastic production capacity affects supply chain decisions and QR implementation. We then incorporate the manufacturer's ability to expand capacity into the model. We explore how the manufacturer determines the optimal capacity expansion decision, and the value of such an ability to the supply chain and its agents. Finally, we extend the model to the two-stage two-ordering case and derive the optimal ordering policy by dynamic programming. We compare the single-ordering and two-ordering cases to generate additional managerial insights about how ordering flexibility affects QR when production capacity is stochastic. We also explore the transparent supply chain and find that our main results still hold.     

Competitive location and capacity decisions for firms serving time‐sensitive customers

In this article we explore how two competing firms locate and set capacities to serve time‐sensitive customers. Because customers are time‐sensitive, they may decline to place an order from either competitor if their expected waiting time is large. We develop a two‐stage game where firms set capacities and then locations, and show that three types of subgame perfect equilibria are possible: local monopoly (in which each customer is served by a single firm, but some customers may be left unserved), constrained local monopoly (in which firms serve the entire interval of customers but do not compete with each other), and constrained competition (in which firms also serve the entire interval of customers, but now compete for some customers). We perform a comparative statics analysis to illustrate differences in the equilibrium behavior of a duopolist and a coordinated monopolist. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

新疆兵团土地人口承载力预测分析

随着国家西部大开发战略的实施,新疆生产建设兵团(以下简称兵团)的经济发展速度开始加快,人口增长与兵团资源的矛盾也逐渐凸现,研究兵团人口承载力问题就迫在眉睫。本文以数量经济学的理论和思想为指导,主要采用灰色系统理论、Logistic模型等定量分析方法对兵团人口、经济、资源及可持续发展进行研究。     

多波束卫星网络的物理层安全性能指标研究

安全性是卫星通信网络充分发挥其优势的必要保证。将物理层安全传输技术引入多波束卫星通信网络,可望有效提高卫星通信系统的抗截获和抗侦测能力。分析了卫星通信的物理层安全应用需求,设计了一套波束成形和功率控制相结合的多波束卫星下行链路物理层安全传输策略,建立了信道模型和信号模型,构建了一套多波束卫星网络下行链路的物理层安全性能评价指标,并对指标进行了定性和定量的分析。