后方油库整体生存概率分析计算

针对我军后方油库特点,探讨了油库整体生存概率计算的基本思路和方法,分析了各类分项目标生存概率的计算方法,采用层次分析对后方油库各分项目标权值进行了详细分析计算,可为后方油库伪装防护效能评估提供依据。     

Effectiveness of (R,Q) policies in one‐warehouse multiretailer systems with deterministic demand and backlogging

Consider a distribution system with a central warehouse and multiple retailers. Customer demand arrives at each of the retailers continuously at a constant rate. The retailers replenish their inventories from the warehouse which in turn orders from an outside supplier with unlimited stock. There are economies of scale in replenishing the inventories at both the warehouse and the retail level. Stockouts at the retailers are backlogged. The system incurs holding and backorder costs. The objective is to minimize the long‐run average total cost in the system. This paper studies the cost effectiveness of (R, Q) policies in the above system. Under an (R, Q) policy, each facility orders a fixed quantity Q from its supplier every time its inventory position reaches a reorder point R. It is shown that (R, Q) policies are at least 76% effective. Numerical examples are provided to further illustrate the cost effectiveness of (R, Q) policies. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 422–439, 2000     

Optimal policies for M/M/m queue with two different kinds of (N,T)‐policies

In this paper, two different kinds of (N, T)‐policies for an M/M/m queueing system are studied. The system operates only intermittently and is shut down when no customers are present any more. A fixed setup cost of K > 0 is incurred each time the system is reopened. Also, a holding cost of h > 0 per unit time is incurred for each customer present. The two (N, T)‐policies studied for this queueing system with cost structures are as follows: (1) The system is reactivated as soon as N customers are present or the waiting time of the leading customer reaches a predefined time T, and (2) the system is reactivated as soon as N customers are present or the time units after the end of the last busy period reaches a predefined time T. The equations satisfied by the optimal policy (N*, T*) for minimizing the long‐run average cost per unit time in both cases are obtained. Particularly, we obtain the explicit optimal joint policy (N*, T*) and optimal objective value for the case of a single server, the explicit optimal policy N* and optimal objective value for the case of multiple servers when only predefined customers number N is measured, and the explicit optimal policy T* and optimal objective value for the case of multiple servers when only predefined time units T is measured, respectively. These results partly extend (1) the classic N or T policy to a more practical (N, T)‐policy and (2) the conclusions obtained for single server system to a system consisting of m (m ≥ 1) servers. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 240–258, 2000     

大型飞行器制导与姿态控制联合仿真建模研究

针对固体火箭发动机、机动发射的大型飞行器的特点 ,提出了建立大姿态情况下全量、全干扰、非线性、时变的制导与姿态控制联合仿真数学模型的一般方法。以某型号固体发动机、机动发射的飞行器为背景 ,在综合考虑了控制系统动态特性和飞行器质心运动、绕质心运动、变质量特性、弹性振动特性、风干扰等因素的情况下 ,建立了飞行器的联合仿真数学模型。进而在面向对象仿真环境下 ,建立了直观、形象、易理想、易扩充的面向对象的飞行器联合仿真模型。仿真结果表明所建联合仿真模型是正确和有效的     

作战指挥系统软件动态定义和动态重组设计

对作战指挥系统软件的功能模块进行分析,引入软件构件开发的思想,采用COM/DCOM构件技术,在现有软件系统中增加远程管理构件,通过客户端程序对远程服务器管理构件的访问,动态管理远程机器上运行的作战指挥系统软件功能模块,使得作战指挥系统软件的各个功能模块能够稳定运行,使分布式作战指挥系统软件具有动态定义、动态重组、动态管理等功能,大大提高了作战指挥系统软件的可靠性和可交互性,使作战指挥系统软件达到了互连、互通、互操作性的目的.     

数据库技术在消防通信指挥系统中的应用

数据库应用是消防通信指挥系统的核心内容。介绍了基于数据库的消防通信指挥系统的消防信息综合管理、案件管理以及案件信息统计、分析和发布等方面的内容。     

基于复用技术的装备保障信息系统构架、构件研究

将软件复用技术应用于装备保障信息系统的开发,采用基于构件/构架的开发方法,加快系统开发速度,提高产品质量,并有利于维护和升级.     

基于不确定性理论的研制技术风险评估方法研究

分析了装备研制技术风险的含义,根据技术风险的特点建立了评价技术风险的指标体系。在技术风险度量中引入不确定性理论的概念,并建立了基于不确定性的技术风险的度量方法,对综合技术风险进行评价。最后通过实例验证了综合评价方法的可用性。     

A model to predict the residual life of aircraft engines based upon oil analysis data

This paper reports on a study using the available oil monitoring information, such as the data obtained using the Spectrometric Oil Analysis Programme (SOAP), to predict the residual life of a set of aircraft engines. The relationship between oil monitoring information and the residual life is established using the concept of the proportional residual, which states that the predicted residual life may be proportional to the wear increment measured by the oil analysis programmes. Assuming such a relationship between wear and the residual life exists, we formulated a recursive prediction model for the item's residual life given measured oil monitoring information to date. A set of censored life data of 30 aircraft engines (right censored due to preventive overhaul) along with the history of their monitored metal concentration information are available to us. The metal concentration information includes many variables, such as Fe, Cu, Al, etc.; not all of them are useful, and some of them may be correlated. The principal component analysis (PCA) has been adopted to reduce the dimension of the original data set and to produce a new set of uncorrelated variables, which we shall use in the prediction model. The procedure associated with estimating model parameters is discussed. The model is fitted to the actual SOAP data from the aircraft engines, and the goodness‐of‐fit test has been carried out. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.