The ‘Happy Outcomes’ May Not Come at All – Postwar Violence in Central America

The non-recurrence of war is mostly considered as the main indicator for successful peace processes. Nevertheless, even in these postwar contexts, other forms of violence – i.e. state repression or homicide – have the potential to endanger the larger process of peace-building. Hence, the analysis of variations in postwar violence is important for the broader peace processes. Three interdependent factors explain variations in postwar violence: the patterns of war termination, policies aiming at the mitigation of the conflict root causes and last but not least institutional reforms. The different experiences of Central American postwar societies show that violence reduction does not require the resolution of major grievances but at least their political recognition.     

当前社区消防工作存在问题及解决对策

首先介绍社区消防工作的现状及搞好社区消防工作的重要性；然后从规划设计不健全、总体布局不合理，政府干预严重、消防设施缺乏，管理混乱、制度不健全，管理标准不一、要求不严，社区内安全疏散系统不完善五个方面分析了社区消防工作存在的突出问题；最后有针对性地从搞好消防规划，严把建筑工程审核验收关，提高居民消防安全意识，定期开展消防安全检查、及时消除火灾隐患，建章立制、狠抓落实五个方面提出解决的方法。     

光电载荷安装误差标校的飞行航路

无人机搭载光电载荷进行安装误差标校时,飞行航路的选择与规划在很大程度上影响着标校算法的收敛性与误差识别结果。为增强标校飞行架次的有效性,提高安装误差可被识别的程度,改善标校算法的收敛性及标校精度,对标校的原理和标校算法进行了理论分析,并利用考察差异函数偏微分的方法找到了标校航路和安装误差标校之间的相互联系,然后结合标校实施过程中所遇到的实际问题提出标校航路规划应遵循的原则,给出了标校航路规划的参考范例。     

农村小企业消防安全现状及对策研究

20世纪80年代兴起的农村工业小企业，为改革开放初期的经济发展发挥了显著作用，但由于在经济建设及发展过程中缺乏科学有效规划和消防安全管理，遗留了诸多火灾隐患。以福州市仓山区为例，深入分析了农村工业小企业存在的火灾隐患问题，并从火灾隐患的消防技术整改和强化消防管理两个方面提出具体对策。     

Approximation algorithms for general one‐warehouse multi‐retailer systems

Logistical planning problems are complicated in practice because planners have to deal with the challenges of demand planning and supply replenishment, while taking into account the issues of (i) inventory perishability and storage charges, (ii) management of backlog and/or lost sales, and (iii) cost saving opportunities due to economies of scale in order replenishment and transportation. It is therefore not surprising that many logistical planning problems are computationally difficult, and finding a good solution to these problems necessitates the development of many ad hoc algorithmic procedures to address various features of the planning problems. In this article, we identify simple conditions and structural properties associated with these logistical planning problems in which the warehouse is managed as a cross‐docking facility. Despite the nonlinear cost structures in the problems, we show that a solution that is within ε‐optimality can be obtained by solving a related piece‐wise linear concave cost multi‐commodity network flow problem. An immediate consequence of this result is that certain classes of logistical planning problems can be approximated by a factor of (1 + ε) in polynomial time. This significantly improves upon the results found in literature for these classes of problems. We also show that the piece‐wise linear concave cost network flow problem can be approximated to within a logarithmic factor via a large scale linear programming relaxation. We use polymatroidal constraints to capture the piece‐wise concavity feature of the cost functions. This gives rise to a unified and generic LP‐based approach for a large class of complicated logistical planning problems. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

某高校新区周边区域火灾危险及对策探析

降低高校新区周边区域的火灾风险是提高高校新区消防安全水平的重要方面。在分析高校新区周边区域火灾特点的基础上,总结了在消防安全方面存在的问题,如村镇消防规划滞后、基础设施匮乏、消防安全管理体系不健全、管理方法单一等。从完善村镇规划、加强基础设施建设、健全消防安全管理体系、深化消防安全管理创新等方面提出了高校新区周边区域消防安全管理的对策。     

排课中时间表问题的探讨

提出一种时间表的设计方案及其改进形式,讨论了它的相关性能。应用本方案,不仅可以提高排课中搜索的效率(最高可达(2n 1)/2倍),还可以满足排课过程中对时间的各种需求,具有很强的适应性和可移植性;再利用层次分析法得到各时间段的可接受度,分析了使用改进时间表的公平性,其公平性因子将得到成倍提高。     

城市消防水源建设存在问题及对策研究

城市水资源匮乏、消防水源布局不合理、规划滞后、管网输水能力不足等多种隐患,已成为影响及时扑救城市火灾的原因之一。对城市公共消防水源建设的现状和原因进行了分析,提出了加强城市消防水源建设的对策。     

Building A New Luftwaffe: The United States Air Force and Bundeswehr Planning for Rearmament, 1950–60

Rearming Germany was a long and complicated process. It was especially difficult to create a new German air force. The army generals who dominated the Bundeswehr cadre did not even want an air force but rather a small arm air corps. Moreover, Adenauer's defense staff failed to adequately budget or plan for a new air force. As rearmament began, US Air Force leaders, working closely with the small Luftwaffe staff in West Germany's shadow Defense Ministry, basically took charge of the process to ensure that the Germans built a new Luftwaffe on the American model – a large, multipurpose force organized as an independent service and fully integrated into NATO. The first Bundesluftwaffe commanders allied themselves to the Americans, often in opposition to their army comrades, to overcome the political problems caused by Adenauer's poor defense planning and create a modern air force on American lines.     

大学生闲暇生活及闲暇教育初探

健康的闲暇生活对大学生知识和能力的提升具有重要意义。目前高校大学生闲暇生活质量不高,这直接影响到大学生身心健康、综合素质和全面发展。本文从大学生闲暇生活现状入手,客观分析了闲暇生活存在内容简单、质量不高、层次较低、结构失衡、缺乏目的性和应有的规划等偏差,提出高校必须充分重视闲暇教育,把大学生的闲暇教育纳入教育教学体系,依托学生组织开展丰富多样的闲暇教育活动,提高大学生闲暇生活的质量,促进其全面发展。     

Production planning for multi-resource network systems

Production planning for large-scale production systems requiring the allocation of numerous resources is considered. It is demonstrated how the dynamic activity analysis developed by Shephard leads to linear programming solutions of production planning problems. Three types of planning problems are formulated: maximization of output levels for a given time horizon; minimization of production duration for given output histories; and minimization of production costs for given output histories.     

支持并行工程的造船分段作业计划系统

针对传统造船模式下,车间作业计划与工艺设计串行工作方式的缺点,基于并行工程的原理,提出了分段作业计划与工艺设计的集成运行模式,为实现造船CAPP系统与PPC系统的集成化和并行化提供了实现的基础。针对集成模式的特点,建立了分段作业计划系统资源优化的数学模型,应用遗传算法解决了针对任意分段装配工艺方案的多资源平衡优化问题,可以得到每项作业最优的开工时间,同时能够给出多种资源的最优分布结果,满足了多工艺方案之间资源利用率的比较。最后,给出了计算实例,计算机模拟结果说明了这一方法的有效性。     

基于IDEF3的部队装备中修业务流程优化重组

以IDEF3为工具描述了部队装备中修业务流程,分析了流程中存在的问题,通过采用基于状态的维修方式、无损检测先进技术手段、共享维修保障信息和调整器材发放审批权限等方法,对部队现行装备中修业务流程进行了优化,可有效解决装备维修过剩、维修不足、维修资源浪费和维修周期过长等问题．     

A specially structured nonlinear integer resource allocation problem

We present an algorithm for solving a specially structured nonlinear integer resource allocation problem. This problem was motivated by a capacity planning study done at a large Health Maintenance Organization in Texas. Specifically, we focus on a class of nonlinear resource allocation problems that involve the minimization of a convex function over one general convex constraint, a set of block diagonal convex constraints, and bounds on the integer variables. The continuous variable problem is also considered. The continuous problem is solved by taking advantage of the structure of the Karush‐Kuhn‐Tucker (KKT) conditions. This method for solving the continuous problem is then incorporated in a branch and bound algorithm to solve the integer problem. Various reoptimization results, multiplier bounding results, and heuristics are used to improve the efficiency of the algorithms. We show how the algorithms can be extended to obtain a globally optimal solution to the nonconvex version of the problem. We further show that the methods can be applied to problems in production planning and financial optimization. Extensive computational testing of the algorithms is reported for a variety of applications on continuous problems with up to 1,000,000 variables and integer problems with up to 1000 variables. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 770–792, 2003.     

SECURITY SECTOR PLANNING IN AFRICA

The security sector in Africa has often been a threat to citizens instead of being a benefit. Military leaders, feared by politicians for their ability to seize power by force, are often reluctant to be open about problems within the military. The lack of dialogue between politicians, citizens and soldiers has made it difficult for the real problems to be identified or addressed. States need to take stock of their security sector assets, decide how they are to be used and then agree on a clear vision for the future of the military forces within the context of the broader national interest. A defence review, the restructuring of personnel, and a transparent budgeting process can all help to achieve a more motivated and better-equipped force. A properly planned transition from the old system to the new will ensure that only manageable steps are attempted and long-term goals are not sacrificed because of short-term crises.     

快速部署机场指挥决策关键技术

针对快速部署机场指挥决策问题,分析了美军指挥决策技术发展现状,重点研究了快速部署机场指挥决策需要的态势感知、决策模型设计与优化、知识表示与存储、案例推理、综合业务信息查询、任务流程规划、模拟推演与效能评估、行动监视与动态干预、软硬件系统综合集成等9项关键技术及其相互之间的关系,指出任务规划是指挥决策过程的核心任务。最后分析了模型设计、案例推理、推演评估、3S技术等四个方面存在的主要技术应用难点。     

自动喷水灭火系统喷头布置探讨

依据《自动喷水灭火系统设计规范》(GB50084-2001),结合实际工程设计经验,就规范对喷头布置的一般规定在具体工程设计中可能存在的矛盾和问题进行了分析,并提出了具体解决办法。     

均衡聚类市场拍卖机制的异构无人机集群任务规划方法

针对大规模异构无人机集群的全局任务规划问题,提出一种基于均衡聚类市场拍卖机制的任务规划方法。对无人机群协同合作完成任务的场景进行分析,综合任务聚类和无人机联盟的优势,建立了通用性较高的任务规划模型。考虑到对无人机群负载均衡的需求,融合和改进了K-means聚类算法和市场拍卖机制,形成一种综合考虑路程消耗和任务消耗的均衡聚类市场拍卖算法。在拍卖过程中引入平衡参数,通过计算旅行商问题来修正平衡参数,保证无人机群在负载均衡的同时整体成本不断降低。仿真结果表明,使用均衡聚类市场拍卖机制的任务规划方法能够在较短时间内完成异构无人机群的复杂任务规划,保证无人机群负载均衡的同时,整体成本和总时间上也有较好表现,具有一定的实际应用价值。     

Reconsidering Truman's claim of ‘half a million American lives’ saved by the atomic bomb: The construction and deconstruction of a myth

This essay, based on substantial archival research, critically examines President Harry S. Truman's often‐cited post‐World War II claim that he had received pre‐Hiroshima counsel in 1945 that the invasion(s) of Japan could cost ‘half a million American lives’. This essay concludes that there is no 1945 archival evidence supporting Truman's postwar contention, and that there is substantial evidence undercutting his claim. Moreover, in view of the total size of American forces scheduled for 1945–46 operations against Japan, any claim of 500,000 American dead seems implausible. This essay also critically examines how Truman's postwar memoir claim of ‘half a million American lives’ was constructed, and this essay discusses the many and rather varied casualty/fatality numbers that Truman presented during his White House and post‐presidential years. Such an analysis also focuses on the numbers he privately provided in the construction of his memoirs by ‘ghost’ writers. Reaching beyond the specific question of Truman's claims, this essay also discusses the dangers of analysts relying heavily upon post‐event memoir and interview sources, and this essay emphasises the need generally to instead privilege contemporaenous archival materials. Otherwise, analysts risk letting policymakers, often in self‐serving recollections, shape the history of crucial events.     

THE 2005 NPT REVIEW CONFERENCE

The 2005 Review Conference of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) failed to produce any agreed action plan for addressing nuclear disarmament or proliferation. Detailed discussions and negotiations on such a plan were much curtailed because of procedural wrangles. This article describes the evolution of the conference and argues that changes in the international political environment and problems inherent in the revised NPT review process agreed at its 1995 Extension Conference contributed to the meager outcome. The main issues raised by delegations in their plenary statements, working papers, and the limited time available for interactive discussion are summarized, and three perspectives are offered on the reasons for the lack of any substantive product. Finally, the implications of that failure for the NPT, its review process, the wider regime for international nuclear governance, and nuclear disarmament, nuclear nonproliferation, and the peaceful use of nuclear energy are examined.